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The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP): project framework - PubMed

  • ️Wed Jan 01 2014

The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP): project framework

Lila Warszawski et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014.

Abstract

The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project offers a framework to compare climate impact projections in different sectors and at different scales. Consistent climate and socio-economic input data provide the basis for a cross-sectoral integration of impact projections. The project is designed to enable quantitative synthesis of climate change impacts at different levels of global warming. This report briefly outlines the objectives and framework of the first, fast-tracked phase of Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project, based on global impact models, and provides an overview of the participating models, input data, and scenario set-up.

Keywords: climate data; multi-sector.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.

(Left) GMT change (in degrees centigrade) with respect to the 1980–2009 average, averaged over 30-y window, centered on year shown. (Right) Relative change in land-averaged precipitation with respect to the 1980–2009 average, in terms of GMT change above present day (average of a 7-y interval around the year in which a given temperature change occurs). Each line represents one GCM and RCP.

Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.

Difference in bias-corrected, average surface air temperature over land between end of the century (2070–2099) and present-day (1980–2010) under RCP8.5 in the five climate models used in the ISI-MIP.

Fig. 3.
Fig. 3.

As in Fig. 2 but for relative difference in average annual rainfall (in percent). Desert regions with present-day annual rainfall below 100 mm are masked.

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