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Solomonoff Prediction and Occam’s Razor

It is suggested at times that Solomonoff prediction, or algorithmic information theory in a predictive setting, can deliver an argument to justify Occam's razor, but why it has no justificatory force is explained.

A framework for open-minded Bayesianism

A conservative extension of a Bayesian account of confirmation that can deal with the problem of old evidence and new theories and allows for old evidence to confirm a new hypothesis due to a shift in the theoretical context is presented.

A Material Theory of Induction*

Contrary to formal theories of induction, I argue that there are no universal inductive inference schemas. The inductive inferences of science are grounded in matters of fact that hold only in…

Carnapian inductive logic for Markov chains

Carnap's Inductive Logic, like most philosophical discussions of induction, is designed for the case of independent trials. To take account of periodicities, and more generally of order, the account…