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California's 38th Congressional District elections, 2012

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California's 38th Congressional District
General Election Date
November 6, 2012
Primary Date
June 5, 2012
November 6 Election Winner:
Linda Sanchez Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Grace Napolitano Democratic Party

Grace Napolitano.jpg


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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

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The 38th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.

Former 39th District incumbent Linda Sanchez (D) won the election.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 9, 2012 June 5, 2012 November 6, 2012

Primary: California has a top-two primary system, in which the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, go on to the general election.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by May 21. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 22.[2]

See also: California elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Grace Napolitano (D), who was first elected in 1998.

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. California's 38th Congressional District is located in the southern portion of the state and includes part of Los Angeles County.[3]

Blanket primary

This was the first election year in which California's Top Two Candidates Open Primary Act was in effect. Because of this, all candidates for a seat competed in one blanket primary. The two candidates who received the most votes then advanced to the general election on November 6.

The proposition's intent was to encourage primary competition, which backers of the act said would lead to more moderate legislators being elected. The primary results did reflect an increase in competition, with California's percentage of contested primaries being much higher than the nationwide average.[4]

The increase in competition also led to an increase in campaign spending, due to the fact that competition within political parties lasted for the entire year rather than ending after the primary. Raphael J. Sonenshein, executive director of the Edmund G. "Pat" Brown Institute of Public Affairs at Cal State L.A., said the following, "It's hard to argue it's a better system where the incumbent congressman has a huge war chest and nobody else has any money... At least now we can make him spend it."[4]

As a result of the blanket primary, nine congressional districts had same-party candidates battling in the November 6 general election. Of those, seven were between Democrats.[5]

There were also over a dozen same-party races in the state legislature in November.[5]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Linda Sanchez Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Benjamin Campos


June 5, 2012, primary results

Note: The following candidate withdrew prior to the primary: Ron Calderon[7][8]

Election results

General election

U.S. House, California District 38 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngLinda Sanchez Incumbent 67.5% 145,280
     Republican Benjamin Campos 32.5% 69,807
Total Votes 215,087
Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in California

The 38th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]

Registration statistics

As of October 24, 2012, District 38 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the California Secretary of State:

California Congressional District 38[11]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 38 336,027 165,259 88,941 81,827 Democratic 85.81% -78.61%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. California's 38th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[12]

  • 2012: 60D / 40R
  • 2010: 63D / 37R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. California's 38th Congressional District has a PVI of D+9, which is the 116th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 63-37 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 57-43 percent over George W. Bush (R).[13]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Linda Sanchez

Linda Sanchez (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[14]April 15, 2012$207,236.85$129,759$(83,743.17)$253,252.68
Pre-Primary[15]May 24, 2012$253,252.68$35,200$(66,358.09)$222,094.59
Running totals
$164,959$(150,101.26)

Benjamin Campos

Benjamin Campos (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[16]April 23, 2012$0$7,969.27$(3,978.21)$3,891.06
Pre-Primary[17]May 29, 2012$3,891.06$2,652$(1,871.66)$4,671.40
Running totals
$10,621.27$(5,849.87)

District history

Candidate ballot access

Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg


Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington, D.C.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Grace Napolitano won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Robert Vaughn (California) in the general election.[18]

U.S. House, California District 38 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngGrace Napolitano Incumbent 73.5% 85,459
     Republican Robert Vaughn (California) 26.5% 30,883
Total Votes 116,342

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. CNN, "California Districts Race - 2012 Election Center," accessed December 1, 2012
  2. California Secretary of State, "Elections FAQ," accessed July 20, 2012
  3. California Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 Los Angeles Times, "Few centrists advance in California's new primary system," June 7, 2012
  5. 5.0 5.1 Reuters, "Democrats face Democrats in new California election system," June 6, 2012
  6. "Rep. Linda Sanchez to run in new 38th Congressional District", latimes.com, August 31, 2011
  7. "State Sen. Ron Calderon to run for Congress", blogs.sacbee.com, August 9, 2011
  8. Sacramento Bee "Ron Calderon drops bid for Congress, endorses Linda Sanchez," accessed March 10, 2012
  9. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "California's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  10. Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  11. California Secretary of State, "Congressional Voter Registration Statistics," May 21, 2012
  12. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in California," September 2012
  13. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Linda Sanchez April Quarterly," accessed July 10, 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Linda Sanchez Pre-Primary," accessed July 10, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Benjamin Campos April Quarterly," accessed July 10, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Benjamin Campos Pre-Primary," accessed July 10, 2012
  18. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013

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