Florida's 15th Congressional District elections, 2012
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Florida's 15th Congressional District |
| General Election Date November 6, 2012 |
| Primary Date August 14, 2012 |
| November 6 Election Winner: Dennis A. Ross 
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| Incumbent prior to election: Bill Posey
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| Florida U.S. House Elections
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| 2012 U.S. Senate Elections |
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The 15th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Dennis A. Ross was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
| June 8, 2012 | August 14, 2012 | November 6, 2012 |
Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a closed primary system.
Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Bill Posey (R), who was first elected in 2008. Posey sought re-election in the new 8th District.[3]
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 15th Congressional District is located in central Florida and includes portions of Hillsborough and Polk counties.[4]
Candidates
General election candidates
No candidates filed to run.- Dennis A. Ross
August 14, 2012, primary results
Race background
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Solid Democratic
Likely Democratic
Lean DemocraticTossup
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
Solid Republican
Florida's 15th District is a solidly Republican district.
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 15th as a solidly Republican district.[7]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
In redistricting, the 12th District was renumbered as the 15th District. Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th District since 2011, sought re-election.[8]
Prior to redistricting the 15th District contained most of Brevard County south of the city of Cocoa, all of Indian River County, most of Osceola County, and a very small portion of Polk County. The district also took in Kissimmee, Melbourne and Vero Beach.
The 15th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]
- 9 percent from the 5th congressional district
- 33 percent from the 9th Congressional District
- 6 percent from the 11th Congressional District
- 52 percent from the 12th Congressional District
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 15th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]
- 2012: 43D / 57R
- 2010: 46D / 54R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 15th Congressional District has a PVI of R+8, which is the 135th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 54-46 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 60-40 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]
District history
| Candidate ballot access |
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2010
On November 2, 2010, Posey won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Shannon Roberts (D) in the general election.[13]
| U.S. House, Florida District 15 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Bill Posey Incumbent |
64.7% | 157,079 | |
| Democratic | Shannon Roberts | 35.3% | 85,595 | |
| Total Votes | 242,674 |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
External links
- Bill Posey's Campaign Website
- Mark Oxner's Campaign Website
- Shannon Roberts' Campaign Website
- David Gunter's Campaign Website
- Updated Florida Congressional Districts List
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map
Footnotes
- ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Register to Vote," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ Roll Call, "Race Ratings: Florida Offers Democrats Chances at Pickups" accessed February 28, 2012
- ↑ Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
- ↑ The Ledger "Lawsuit Filed Over New Map" accessed February 14, 2012
- ↑ Florida Secretary of State Elections Board "Candidate List" accessed March 23, 2012
- ↑ Center for Politics, "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- ↑ The Ledger, "Lawsuit Filed Over New Map" accessed February 29, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
Senators
Representatives
Republican Party (20)
Democratic Party (8)
Vacancies (2)