Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2023
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Jill Tokuda (D).
As of the 2020 Census, Hawaii representatives represented an average of 730,069 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 683,431 residents.
Elections
2024
See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 10 Democratic primary)
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 10 Republican primary)
General election
Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Rick Swing (D)
Republican primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Lono Mack (R)
- Brandon Kuehner (R)
Nonpartisan primary election
Libertarian primary election
No Labels primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Lono Mack (No Labels)
We the People primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- BlessingStar De La Cruz (We the People)
- Clifford Kauaula (We the People)
2022
General election
Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Tommy Waters (D)
Republican primary election
Libertarian primary election
2020
General election
Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David Cornejo (D)
- Ryan Meza (D)
Republican primary election
Nonpartisan primary election
Aloha Aina Party primary election
American Shopping Party primary election
Libertarian primary election
2018
General election
Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Reiss (D)
Republican primary election
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard (D) defeated Angela Aulani Kaaihue (R) and Richard Turner (Independent) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Gabbard defeated Shay Chan Hodges in the Democratic primary, while Kaaihue defeated Eric Hafner to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on August 13, 2016.[1][2]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Tulsi Gabbard Incumbent |
81.2% | 170,848 | |
| Republican | Angela Aulani Kaaihue | 18.8% | 39,668 | |
| Total Votes | 210,516 | |||
| Source: Hawaii Secretary of State |
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Tulsi Gabbard Incumbent |
84.5% | 80,026 |
| Shay Chan Hodges | 15.5% | 14,643 |
| Total Votes | 94,669 | |
| Source: Hawaii Secretary of State |
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Angela Aulani Kaaihue |
55.9% | 7,449 |
| Eric Hafner | 44.1% | 5,876 |
| Total Votes | 13,325 | |
| Source: Hawaii Secretary of State |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Hawaii held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard (D) defeated challengers Kawika Crowley (R) and Joe Kent (L) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tulsi Gabbard Incumbent |
75.8% | 141,996 | |
| Republican | Kawika Crowley | 17.9% | 33,624 | |
| Libertarian | Joe Kent | 2.5% | 4,692 | |
| Total Votes | 180,312 | |||
| Source: Hawaii Office of Elections |
General election candidates
August 9, 2014, primary results
Failed to file
2012
Tulsi Gabbard (D) won election to the U.S. House of Representatives 2nd Congressional District seat of Hawaii on November 6, 2012.[6]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tulsi Gabbard |
76.9% | 168,503 | |
| Republican | Kawika "David" Crowley | 18.6% | 40,707 | |
| n/a | Blank Votes | 4.5% | 9,952 | |
| Total Votes | 219,162 | |||
| Source: Hawaii Office of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Mazie K. Hirono won re-election to the United States House. She defeated John W. Willoughby (R), Pat Brock (L) and Andrew Vsevolod Von Sonn (nonpartisan) in the general election.[7]
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Mazie K. Hirono incumbent |
72.2% | 132,290 | |
| Republican | John W. Willoughby | 25.3% | 46,404 | |
| Libertarian | Pat Brock | 1.8% | 3,254 | |
| Nonpartisan | Andrew Vsevolod Von Sonn | 0.7% | 1,310 | |
| Total Votes | 183,258 |
2008
On November 4, 2008, Mazie K. Hirono won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Roger B. Evans (R), Shaun Stenshol (I), Lloyd J. Mallan (L) in the general election.[8]
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Mazie K. Hirono incumbent |
69.8% | 165,748 | |
| Republican | Roger B. Evans | 18.7% | 44,425 | |
| Independent | Shaun Stenshol | 1.7% | 4,042 | |
| Libertarian | Lloyd J. Mallan | 1.5% | 3,669 | |
| Blank | 8.3% | 19,605 | ||
| Over Votes | 0% | 111 | ||
| Total Votes | 237,600 |
2006
On November 7, 2006, Mazie K. Hirono won election to the United States House. She defeated Bob Hogue (R) in the general election.[9]
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2006 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Mazie K. Hirono |
61% | 106,906 | |
| Republican | Bob Hogue | 39% | 68,244 | |
| Total Votes | 175,150 |
2004
On November 2, 2004, Ed Case won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Mike Gabbard (R) in the general election.[10]
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2004 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Ed Case incumbent |
62.8% | 133,317 | |
| Republican | Mike Gabbard | 37.2% | 79,072 | |
| Total Votes | 212,389 |
2002
Special election
On November 30, 2002, Ed Case won election to the United States House. He defeated 37 other candidates in the special general election.
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 Special Election, 2002 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Ed Case |
51.6% | 23,576 | |
| Democratic | John F. Mink | 36.4% | 16,624 | |
| Republican | John S. Carroll | 4.2% | 1,933 | |
| Republican | Whitney T. Anderson | 2.1% | 942 | |
| Nonpartisan | Mark McNett | 1% | 449 | |
| Democratic | Kekoa D. Kaapu | 0.6% | 269 | |
| Republican | Richard H. Haake | 0.5% | 229 | |
| Republican | Doug Fairhurst | 0.4% | 173 | |
| Republican | Kimo Kaloi | 0.3% | 149 | |
| Green | Nick Nikhilananda | 0.3% | 136 | |
| Democratic | Solomon Naluai | 0.3% | 116 | |
| Republican | Walter R. Barnes | 0.2% | 94 | |
| Republican | Carolyn Mart Golojuch | 0.2% | 94 | |
| Republican | Clifford P. Rhodes | 0.2% | 86 | |
| Republican | Timmy Yuen | 0.2% | 85 | |
| Republican | Joe Conner | 0.2% | 83 | |
| Republican | Joseph (Papa Joe) Payne | 0.2% | 69 | |
| Democratic | Brian G. Cole | 0.1% | 67 | |
| Democratic | John L. Baker | 0.1% | 66 | |
| Democratic | Michael Gagne | 0.1% | 62 | |
| Republican | Bob Schieve | 0.1% | 55 | |
| Nonpartisan | Ron (Whodaguy) Jacobs | 0.1% | 54 | |
| Nonpartisan | Lillian Lai Lam Hong | 0.1% | 51 | |
| Democratic | Art P. Reyes | 0.1% | 51 | |
| Nonpartisan | John Mayer | 0.1% | 47 | |
| Libertarian | Jeff Mallan | 0.1% | 33 | |
| Libertarian | Lawrence Duquense | 0.1% | 32 | |
| Democratic | Steve Tataii | 0.1% | 28 | |
| Green | G. (Iimz) Goodwin | 0.1% | 27 | |
| Nonpartisan | John Parker | 0.1% | 27 | |
| Total Votes | 45,707 | |||
| Source: Results via Hawaii State Board of Elections |
General election
On November 5, 2002, Patsy T. Mink won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Bob McDermott (R), Jeff Mallan (L) and Nicholas Bedworth (Natural Law) in the general election.[11]
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2002 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Patsy T. Mink incumbent |
56.2% | 100,671 | |
| Republican | Bob McDermott | 40% | 71,661 | |
| Libertarian | Jeff Mallan | 2.6% | 4,719 | |
| Natural Law | Nicholas Bedworth | 1.2% | 2,200 | |
| Total Votes | 179,251 |
2000
On November 7, 2000, Patsy T. Mink won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Russ Francis (R) and Lawrence G. K. Duquesne (L) in the general election.[12]
| U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Patsy T. Mink incumbent |
61.6% | 112,856 | |
| Republican | Russ Francis | 36% | 65,906 | |
| Libertarian | Lawrence G.K. Duquesne | 2.4% | 4,468 | |
| Total Votes | 183,230 |
District map
Redistricting
2020-2021
The Hawaii Reapportionment Commisssion approved a new congressional district map on January 28, 2022.[13] Two congressional district maps were presented to the commission at their meeting on September 9, 2021. One map kept the congressional lines as they were drawn following the 2010 census. An alternate map slightly adjusted the lines along the western coast of Oahu.[14] On October 1, the commission voted to adopt the alternate proposal, shown here.[15] After hearing public testimony, the commission drafted a final proposal on January 26.[16] This map took effect for Hawaii's 2022 congressional elections.
How does redistricting in Hawaii work? In Hawaii, a nine-member commission draws both congressional and state legislative district lines. The majority and minority leaders of the Hawaii State Senate and Hawaii House of Representatives each select two members. These eight members then select a ninth tie-breaking commissioner. If the commission is unable to reach an agreement on a ninth member, the Hawaii Supreme Court must make the appointment.[17]
Both congressional and state legislative district boundaries must be contiguous and compact. In addition, where possible, district lines "must follow permanent and easily recognized features ... and coincide with census tracts." In addition, "districts must also avoid submerging one area in another with substantially different predominant socioeconomic interests." No district can be drawn "to unduly favor a person or political faction."[17]
State law permits state legislative districts to be multimember, but a maximum of four representatives can be elected from a single district.[17]
Hawaii District 2
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Hawaii District 2
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
2010-2011
This is the 2nd Congressional District of Hawaii after the 2001 redistricting process.
In 2011, the Hawaii State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
2024
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 2nd the 105th most Democratic district nationally.[18]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 63.6%-34.1%.[19]
2022
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 2nd the 103rd most Democratic district nationally.[20]
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 63.6% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 34.1%.[21]
2018
Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District the 70th most Democratic nationally.[22]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.09. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.09 points toward that party.[23]
See also
- Redistricting in Hawaii
- Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
- Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
- Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
- Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Hawaii Secretary of State, "2016 Candidates," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Hawaii House Races Results," August 13, 2016
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 Hawaii Elections Division, "Candidate Report," accessed June 4, 2014
- ↑ Hawaii Free Press, "Why Marissa is Running for Congress," accessed January 21, 2014
- ↑ Joe Kent for Congress, "Home," accessed March 24, 2014
- ↑ ABC News, "General Election Results 2012-Hawaii," November 7, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ State of Hawaii, "Regular Meeting of the Reapportionment Commission - January 28, 2022," accessed February 4, 2022
- ↑ State of Hawaii, "Reapportionment Commission," accessed September 15, 2021
- ↑ State of Hawaii Reapportionment Commission, "Written Summary for Video Record," Oct. 14, 2021
- ↑ Hawaii Office of Elections, "Reapportionment Commission," accessed February 4, 2022
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 All About Redistricting, "Hawaii," accessed April 29, 2015
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018