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North Carolina's 12th Congressional District

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District

Incumbent

Assumed office: November 12, 2014

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Alma Adams (D).

As of the 2020 Census, North Carolina representatives represented an average of 746,711 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 735,829 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2024

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)

General election

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Alma Adams advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 12.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Addul Ali advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 12.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Republican primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

Democratic primary election

Republican primary election

2016

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Alma Adams (D) defeated Republican candidate Leon Threatt in the general election. Alma Adams (D) defeated Carla Cunningham, Gardenia Henley, Malcolm Graham, Rick Miller, and Tricia Cotham in the Democratic primary on June 7, 2016. Leon Threatt defeated Ryan Duffie and Paul Wright for the Republican nomination. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[1]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlma Adams Incumbent 67% 234,115
     Republican Leon Threatt 33% 115,185
Total Votes 349,300
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections
U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngLeon Threatt 41.8% 3,495
Paul Wright 34.6% 2,894
Ryan Duffie 23.6% 1,973
Total Votes 8,362
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections
U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAlma Adams Incumbent 42.5% 12,400
Malcolm Graham 28.9% 8,428
Tricia Cotham 21.1% 6,165
Carla Cunningham 4.3% 1,255
Gardenia Henley 1.5% 444
Rodney Moore (withdrawn) 0.8% 245
Rick Miller 0.8% 235
Total Votes 29,172
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

2014

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 12th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Alma Adams (D) defeated Vince Coakley (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlma Adams 75.3% 130,096
     Republican Vince Coakley 24.7% 42,568
Total Votes 172,664
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

2014 special election

The 12th Congressional District of North Carolina held a special election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014, concurrent with the regular general election, to fill the vacancy left by former Rep. Melvin Watt (D), who resigned in January 2014.[2] Alma Adams (D) defeated Vince Coakley (R) in the special election.

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 Special Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlma Adams 75.4% 127,668
     Republican Vince Coakley 24.6% 41,578
Total Votes 169,246
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

2012

See also: North Carolina's 12th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 12th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Melvin L. Watt (D) won re-election. He defeated Jack Brosch (R) in the general election.[3]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt Incumbent 79.6% 247,591
     Republican Jack Brosch 20.4% 63,317
Total Votes 310,908
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Greg Dority (R) and Lon Cecil (Libertarian) in the general election.[4]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 63.9% 103,495
     Republican Greg Dority 34.1% 55,315
     Libertarian Lon Cecil 2% 3,197
Total Votes 162,007

2008
On November 4, 2008, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ty Cobb, Jr. (R) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 71.6% 215,908
     Republican Ty Cobb, Jr. 28.4% 85,814
Total Votes 301,722

2006
On November 7, 2006, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ada M. Fisher (R) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 67% 71,345
     Republican Ada M. Fisher 33% 35,127
Total Votes 106,472

2004
On November 2, 2004, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ada M. Fisher (R) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 66.8% 154,908
     Republican Ada M. Fisher 33.2% 76,898
Total Votes 231,806

2002
On November 5, 2002, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jeff Kish (R) and Carey Head (Libertarian) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 65.3% 98,821
     Republican Jeff Kish 32.8% 49,588
     Libertarian Carey Head 1.9% 2,830
Total Votes 151,239

2000
On November 7, 2000, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Chad Mitchell (R) and Anna Lyon (Libertarian) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 64.8% 135,570
     Republican Chad Mitchell 33.3% 69,596
     Libertarian Anna Lyon 1.9% 3,978
Total Votes 209,144

District map

Redistricting

2020-2023

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina after the 2020 census

On October 25, 2023, the North Carolina General Assembly adopted new congressional district boundaries.[10] The legislation adopting the new maps passed the state Senate by a vote of 28-18 and the State House by a vote of 64-40.[11] Both votes were strictly along party lines with all votes in favor by Republicans and all votes against by Democrats.[12][13]

The New York Times' Maggie Astor wrote, "The map creates 10 solidly Republican districts, three solidly Democratic districts and one competitive district. Currently, under the lines drawn by a court for the 2022 election, each party holds seven seats. The Democratic incumbents who have been essentially drawn off the map are Representatives Jeff Jackson in the Charlotte area, Kathy Manning in the Greensboro area and Wiley Nickel in the Raleigh area. A seat held by a fourth Democrat, Representative Don Davis, is expected to be competitive."[10]

The United States District Court for the Middle District of Louisiana scheduled a June 2025 trial for two lawsuits challenging the congressional and state legislative maps — Williams v. Hall and NC NAACP v. Berger.[14]

How does redistricting in North Carolina work? In North Carolina, the state legislature is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district lines. District maps cannot be vetoed by the governor. State legislative redistricting must take place in the first regular legislative session following the United States Census. There are no explicit deadlines in place for congressional redistricting.[15]

State law establishes the following requirements for state legislative districts:[15]

  • Districts must be contiguous and compact.
  • Districts "must cross county lines as little as possible." If counties are grouped together, the group should include as few counties as possible.
  • Communities of interest should be taken into account.

There are no similar restrictions in place regarding congressional districts.[15]


Below are the congressional maps in effect before and after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The map on the right was in effect for North Carolina’s 2024 congressional elections.

Below are the congressional maps in effect before and after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The map on the right was in effect for North Carolina’s 2024 congressional elections.

Below are the congressional maps in effect before and after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The map on the right was in effect for North Carolina’s 2024 congressional elections.

North Carolina District 12
until January 2, 2025

Click a district to compare boundaries.

North Carolina District 12
starting January 3, 2025

Click a district to compare boundaries.

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina after the 2010 census

North Carolina's congressional district plan was subject to litigation following its adoption in 2011. Two challenges to the plan were heard by the Supreme Court of the United States: Cooper v. Harris, which was decided in 2017, and Rucho v. Common Cause, which decided on June 27, 2019. As a result of Rucho, North Carolina's congressional district plan was upheld. For more complete information, see this article.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+23. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 23 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 12th the 48th most Democratic district nationally.[16]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 74.4%-24.2%.[17]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 12th the 110th most Democratic district nationally.[18]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 64.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 34.2%.[19]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+17. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 12th Congressional District the 79th most Democratic nationally.[20]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.92. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.92 points toward that party.[21]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016
  2. MSNBC, "100th woman in Congress to take oath," accessed November 12, 2014
  3. Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
  4. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. 10.0 10.1 The New York Times, "North Carolina Republicans Approve House Map That Flips at Least Three Seats," October 26, 2023
  11. North Caroliina General Assembly, "Senate Bill 757 / SL 2023-145," accessed October 26, 2023
  12. North Caroliina General Assembly, "House Roll Call Vote Transcript for Roll Call #613," accessed October 26, 2023
  13. North Caroliina General Assembly, "Senate Roll Call Vote Transcript for Roll Call #492," accessed October 26, 2023
  14. Carolina Journal, "Federal NC redistricting lawsuits officially scheduled for June 2025 trial," May 24, 2024
  15. 15.0 15.1 15.2 All About Redistricting, "North Carolina," accessed April 20, 2015
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  18. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  19. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  20. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  21. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018

Senators

Representatives

Republican Party (12)

Democratic Party (4)