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Bayesian Informal Logic and Fallacy | Informal Logic

  • ️Thu Jan 01 2004

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22329/il.v24i1.2132

Keywords:

Bayesian reasoning, logical fallacies, statistical fallacies, causal fallacies, teaching probabilistic reasoning

Abstract

Bayesian reasoning has been applied formally to statistical inference, machine learning and analysing scientific method. Here I apply it informally to more common forms of inference, namely natural language arguments. I analyse a variety of traditional fallacies, deductive, inductive and causal, and find more merit in them than is generally acknowledged. Bayesian principles provide a framework for understanding ordinary arguments which is well worth developing.

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16%

Competing interests 

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11%

Articles accepted 

19%

33%

Days to publication 

2050

145

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Publisher 

University of Windsor

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Copyright for each article published in Informal Logic belongs to its author(s). Informal Logic has the right of first publication. Permission to reprint any article that appears in Informal Logic MUST be obtained in writing from the author(s). In addition to any form of acknowledgement required by the author(s), the following notice must be added to the statement of copyright permission made in the reprint (with the appropriate numbers replacing the ellipses): [Article Title] was originally published in Informal Logic, [year], Volume ..., Number ..., pp. ...-... .