Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative - PubMed
- ️Mon Jan 01 2001
. 2001 Jul 27;293(5530):657-60.
doi: 10.1126/science.293.5530.657.
S R Carpenter, M Barber, S Collins, A Dobson, J A Foley, D M Lodge, M Pascual, R Pielke Jr, W Pizer, C Pringle, W V Reid, K A Rose, O Sala, W H Schlesinger, D H Wall, D Wear
Affiliations
- PMID: 11474103
- DOI: 10.1126/science.293.5530.657
Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative
J S Clark et al. Science. 2001.
Abstract
Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.
Similar articles
-
Shaping global environmental decisions using socio-ecological models.
Tallis HM, Kareiva P. Tallis HM, et al. Trends Ecol Evol. 2006 Oct;21(10):562-8. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2006.07.009. Epub 2006 Jul 31. Trends Ecol Evol. 2006. PMID: 16876906
-
Carpenter SR, Folke C. Carpenter SR, et al. Trends Ecol Evol. 2006 Jun;21(6):309-15. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2006.02.007. Epub 2006 Mar 10. Trends Ecol Evol. 2006. PMID: 16769430 Review.
-
Translating ecological risk to ecosystem service loss.
Munns WR Jr, Helm RC, Adams WJ, Clements WH, Cramer MA, Curry M, DiPinto LM, Johns DM, Seiler R, Williams LL, Young D. Munns WR Jr, et al. Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2009 Oct;5(4):500-14. doi: 10.1897/IEAM_2009-009.1. Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2009. PMID: 19545189
-
Iterative near-term ecological forecasting: Needs, opportunities, and challenges.
Dietze MC, Fox A, Beck-Johnson LM, Betancourt JL, Hooten MB, Jarnevich CS, Keitt TH, Kenney MA, Laney CM, Larsen LG, Loescher HW, Lunch CK, Pijanowski BC, Randerson JT, Read EK, Tredennick AT, Vargas R, Weathers KC, White EP. Dietze MC, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Feb 13;115(7):1424-1432. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1710231115. Epub 2018 Jan 30. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018. PMID: 29382745 Free PMC article.
-
Climate change: effects on animal disease systems and implications for surveillance and control.
de La Rocque S, Rioux JA, Slingenbergh J. de La Rocque S, et al. Rev Sci Tech. 2008 Aug;27(2):339-54. Rev Sci Tech. 2008. PMID: 18819664 Review.
Cited by
-
Filipe JA, Cobb RC, Meentemeyer RK, Lee CA, Valachovic YS, Cook AR, Rizzo DM, Gilligan CA. Filipe JA, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2012 Jan;8(1):e1002328. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002328. Epub 2012 Jan 5. PLoS Comput Biol. 2012. PMID: 22241973 Free PMC article.
-
Knapp AK, Burns CE, Fynn RW, Kirkman KP, Morris CD, Smith MD. Knapp AK, et al. Oecologia. 2006 Sep;149(3):456-64. doi: 10.1007/s00442-006-0468-2. Epub 2006 Jul 4. Oecologia. 2006. PMID: 16821014
-
Woelmer WM, Thomas RQ, Lofton ME, McClure RP, Wander HL, Carey CC. Woelmer WM, et al. Ecol Appl. 2022 Oct;32(7):e2642. doi: 10.1002/eap.2642. Epub 2022 Jun 26. Ecol Appl. 2022. PMID: 35470923 Free PMC article.
-
Zhao Q, Heath-Acre K, Collins D, Conway W, Weegman MD. Zhao Q, et al. PeerJ. 2021 Nov 15;9:e12475. doi: 10.7717/peerj.12475. eCollection 2021. PeerJ. 2021. PMID: 34820197 Free PMC article.
-
Sieck M, Ibisch PL, Moloney KA, Jeltsch F. Sieck M, et al. BMC Ecol. 2011 May 3;11:12. doi: 10.1186/1472-6785-11-12. BMC Ecol. 2011. PMID: 21539736 Free PMC article. Review.
Publication types
MeSH terms
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources