Toward the year 2000 : work in progress | WorldCat.org

Preface to the MIT Press Edition / Daniel Bell and Stephen R. Graubard

The Year 2000

The Trajectory of an Idea / Daniel Bell

Baselines for the Future

Alternative Futures

Centralization and Decentralization

The Need for Models

The Next Thirty-Three Years: A Framework for Speculation / Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener

Can Social Predictions Be Evaluated? / Fred Charles Ikle

Forecasting and Technological Forecasting / Donald A. Schon

Information, Rationality, and Free Choice in a Future Democratic Society / Martin Shubik

Planning and Predicting: Or What to Do When You Don't Know the Names of the Variables / Leonard J. Duhl

Modernizing Urban Development / Harvey S. Perloff

The Relationship of Federal to Local Authorities / Daniel P. Moynihan

The Need for a New Political Theory / Lawrence K. Frank

University Cities in the Year 2000 / Stephen R. Graubard

Educational and Scientific Institutions / Harold Orlans

Biological Man and the Year 2000 / Ernst Mayr

Deliberate Efforts to Control Human Behavior and Modify Personality / Gardner C. Quarton

Religion, Mysticism, and the Institutional Church / Krister Stendahl

Memorandum on Youth / Erik H. Erikson

The Life Cycle and Its Variations: The Division of Roles / Margaret Mead

The Problems of Privacy in the Year 2000 / Harry Kalven, Jr

Some Psychological Perspectives on the Year 2000 / George A. Miller

Notes on Meritocracy / David Riesman

Violence / James Q. Wilson

Communication / John R. Pierce

Thinking About the Future of International Society / Eugene V. Rostow

Political Development and the Decline of the American System of World Order / Samuel P. Huntington

The International System in the Next Half Century / Ithiel De Sola Pool

The Nature and Limitations of Forecasting

Four Futures

The Need for Normative Statements. Members of the Commission on the Year 2000

The Working Parties

Coda: Work in Further Progress / Daniel Bell